PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x070800b57ea1606dee46b649e7b5a1767a15f218

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
1,227
Open portfolio
$6.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
CautionMarkets traded1,227
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,115,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0900.615$2.15+$1.83
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0020.002$0.60−$0.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.0040.100$0.48+$0.46
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3790.159$0.32−$0.44
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-03 House election by 0%-10%? · Yes0.0080.065$0.30+$0.26
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 21% or more? · Yes0.0010.001$0.27−$0.45
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1110.061$0.25−$0.20
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? · Yes0.0160.038$0.17+$0.10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5% or more? · Yes0.0070.016$0.16+$0.09
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.136$0.15+$0.14
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 35% or more? · Yes0.0030.102$0.14+$0.14
Will Éric Zemmour win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.13−$0.66
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Slovakia? · Yes0.0040.021$0.09+$0.07
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0120.018$0.09+$0.03
Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.023$0.08+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 07:17Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.001$0.01
10-16 07:17Will Summit be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
10-16 07:17Will Nery Mozombite Cerrón win the next Maynas mayoral elections?SELL0.001$0.00
10-16 07:17Will Brent Rooker win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?SELL0.001$0.01
10-16 07:17Will Forza Horizon 6 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.001$0.01
10-16 07:17Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Saudi Arabia?SELL0.003$0.02
10-16 07:17Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?SELL0.001$0.01
10-16 07:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 0%-5%?SELL0.002$0.01
10-16 07:17Will Project Hail Mary win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.001$0.02
10-16 07:17Will Daniel Hadad win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.001$0.02
10-16 07:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 55% or more?SELL0.002$0.02
10-16 07:17Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election?SELL0.001$0.02
10-16 07:17Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?SELL0.002$0.02
10-16 07:17Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?SELL0.002$0.02
10-16 07:17Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?SELL0.002$0.02