0x070800b57eA1606DeE46b649e7B5a1767A15f218-1773554899856
0x070800b57ea1606dee46b649e7b5a1767a15f218
- Realised P&L
- $-453.87
- Volume
- $129.4k
- Markets traded
- 865
- Open portfolio
- $93.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded865
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.76at 0.203Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $400?
- +$27.90at 0.070Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8PM ET
- +$16.99at 0.110Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 23?
- +$12.90at 0.140BNB Up or Down - April 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$8.46at 0.092Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:57 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be less than 310,000? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 21:59 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be 3,050,000 or more? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.39 |
| 09-17 21:59 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be 3,050,000 or more? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.65 |
| 09-17 21:54 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be 3,050,000 or more? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.87 |
| 09-17 13:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 13:27 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.38 |
| 09-15 18:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.08 |
| 09-14 17:13 | Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $0.92 |
| 09-14 05:52 | Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.28 |
| 09-14 02:16 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 460,000 and 490,000? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 09-13 14:44 | Will the CAQ win 15-19 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.09 |
| 09-12 11:42 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 09-11 17:16 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.19 |
| 09-11 17:16 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.12 |
| 09-11 00:55 | Will Solana dip to $60 in September? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.09 |