PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

userjimmy

0x0700457a378f2a0bdbf6bac34b8c4ed487319d5f

Realised P&L
$5.04
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$511.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6950.735$28.66+$1.58
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Ohio? · No0.8400.902$25.26+$1.74
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? · No0.9300.950$19.95+$0.42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-12 House election? · No0.9370.962$19.23+$0.49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 3% or more? · No0.9650.935$18.71−$0.59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%? · No0.8320.908$18.16+$1.53
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%? · No0.8300.785$16.48−$0.94
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6940.705$14.45+$0.22
Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? · No0.9460.947$13.72+$0.01
Spain General Election: PSOE gains seats? · No0.8600.790$13.43−$1.19
Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio? · No0.9340.945$10.39+$0.13
Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas and Ohio? · No0.9700.935$10.29−$0.38
Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas? · No0.9530.925$10.18−$0.30
Will Republicans win the Mississippi and South Carolina Senate seats, and an independent win Montana? · No0.9800.965$9.64−$0.15
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on November 6, 2026? · No0.7900.960$9.60+$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:44Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$6.75
11-01 16:44Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats?BUY0.28$2.52
11-01 16:44Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Ohio?BUY0.93$8.37
11-01 15:45Will Democrats win the Michigan and Ohio Senate seats, and Republicans win Texas?BUY0.93$5.58
11-01 15:45Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats, and Democrats win Ohio?BUY0.97$5.82
11-01 15:45Will Democrats win the Michigan, Texas, and Ohio Senate seats?BUY0.32$1.92
11-01 15:45Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.74$4.44
11-01 15:45Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas and Ohio?BUY0.97$5.82
11-01 15:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 3%-6%?BUY0.8489999841$6.80
11-01 15:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.8929999882$7.16
11-01 15:15Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.8$6.40
11-01 15:15Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?BUY0.4$3.20
11-01 14:30Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.75$5.25
11-01 14:30Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election?SELL0.711$5.01
11-01 14:30Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?SELL0.57$3.99