maximovoz
0x06fcc6dea61c94d0dc13d11097ecf67f6e292fbf
- Realised P&L
- $-9.34
- Volume
- $116.51
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 20? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.970 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.524 | 0.515 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on August 4? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$2.04at 0.500Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.88at 0.945Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$0.71at 0.741Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 20? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 02:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 02:03 | Will Hikaru Nakamura win Titled Tuesday on August 4? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 03:12 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.869999942 | $1.50 |
| 07-27 21:26 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 21:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 21:22 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.508999886 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 21:13 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5239999979 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 20:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7309999317 | $2.00 |
| 06-15 10:37 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.92 | $16.00 |
| 06-14 05:47 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9429999976 | $15.00 |
| 06-13 17:19 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.359999946 | $4.00 |
| 06-09 04:09 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |