Leon789
0x06e1e3a4fa3d0ed8c158a799a2201797c12b9954
- Realised P&L
- $-2.64
- Volume
- $491.08
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $61.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.645 | $25.80 | −$4.20 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? · No | 0.663 | 0.543 | $21.74 | −$4.78 |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · No | 0.592 | 0.535 | $10.62 | −$1.14 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · No | 0.330 | 0.415 | $3.65 | +$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.470Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.447Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.590Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.390Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?
- +$-3.00at 0.620Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 16:01 | Will Gemini Spark be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |