0x06dc5bd622068272b9c07b836a6e44cae9cf199b
0x06dc5bd622068272b9c07b836a6e44cae9cf199b
- Realised P&L
- $37.90
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $42.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) · Vitality | 0.570 | 0.555 | $42.24 | −$1.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.24at 0.452US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$89.19at 0.663Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
- +$63.21at 0.690Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
- +$48.68at 0.540Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$42.58at 0.469Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:54 | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999955 | $43.38 |
| 10-07 20:48 | Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | SELL | 0.23 | $46.62 |
| 10-01 11:46 | Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.3106259636 | $62.96 |
| 10-01 10:03 | Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Adolfo Vallejo (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 19:55 | Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz | BUY | 0.2748592357 | $8.02 |
| 09-26 19:54 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-24 09:01 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5952919021 | $63.22 |
| 09-20 09:58 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.3299999971 | $6.87 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.3669816552 | $4.45 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 07-31 08:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $92.71 |
| 07-30 13:03 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.27669912 | $19.28 |
| 07-28 18:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7492320491 | $78.05 |
| 07-26 18:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $78.84 |
| 07-26 16:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.7 | $39.40 |