srbrb
0x06dbd072f1e6fa8cc82f8cab8cc254b7077e5244
- Realised P&L
- $459.47
- Volume
- $172.5k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $61.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.570Ducks vs. Canadiens
- +$446.04at 0.680Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?
- +$398.16at 0.880Panthers vs. Eagles
- +$320.00at 0.680Royals vs. Red Sox
- +$298.69at 0.290Buccaneers vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 14:04 | Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.9658694984 | $182.14 |
| 07-14 06:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | SELL | 0.498518 | $99.70 |
| 07-05 05:10 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.777 | $33.99 |
| 06-08 09:42 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 06-07 13:21 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.09191435 | $18.38 |
| 06-03 09:12 | Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.93 |
| 05-26 15:37 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 05-17 12:32 | Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? | BUY | 0.966 | $48.30 |
| 05-17 12:32 | Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 05-08 06:59 | Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? | SELL | 0.9287793333 | $139.32 |
| 04-23 15:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 04-13 07:58 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.6 | $6.70 |
| 04-12 06:50 | Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election? | SELL | 0.7490247499 | $71.12 |
| 04-09 10:52 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $19.64 |
| 04-09 10:52 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.056 | $8.40 |