PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

srbrb

0x06dbd072f1e6fa8cc82f8cab8cc254b7077e5244

Realised P&L
$459.47
Volume
$172.5k
Markets traded
372
Open portfolio
$61.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded372
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.6120.195$50.70$108.30
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.2550.015$6.20$95.80
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.4050.021$4.10$76.90
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0270.021$0.04$0.01
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0190.001$0.02$0.76
Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$4.20
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00$22.60
Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$3.47
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$18.00
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$30.50
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? · No0.3720.000$0.00$111.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$3.15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$2.88
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$31.50
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$14.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 14:04Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.9658694984$182.14
07-14 06:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?SELL0.498518$99.70
07-05 05:10Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.777$33.99
06-08 09:42Israel closes its airspace by June 30?SELL0.61$30.50
06-07 13:21Iran closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.09191435$18.38
06-03 09:12Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?BUY0.08$1.93
05-26 15:37Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?BUY0.24$24.00
05-17 12:32Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?BUY0.966$48.30
05-17 12:32Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?BUY0.966$96.60
05-08 06:59Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?SELL0.9287793333$139.32
04-23 15:45Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?SELL0.49$24.50
04-13 07:58Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.6$6.70
04-12 06:50Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?SELL0.7490247499$71.12
04-09 10:52Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.26$19.64
04-09 10:52Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.056$8.40