0x06c0fcb8a5b254fd581a056b3ee803c74acbaf63
- Realised P&L
- $-243.97
- Volume
- $970.55
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $174.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.854 | 0.505 | $157.01 | −$108.54 |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.140 | $17.18 | −$36.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.03at 0.338Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$7.24at 0.600Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5
- +$6.79at 0.429Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$5.74at 0.472Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$4.17at 0.550Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 08:44 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $91.17 |
| 07-11 15:30 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.362499926 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 15:29 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3624998595 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 23:58 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 23:57 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2624999619 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 08:12 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 10:55 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 08:38 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 03:20 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 23:23 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $3.00 |
| 07-04 23:19 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 08:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 03:18 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.9 | $13.23 |
| 07-04 01:23 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |