0x06bc430ed3248a9b362603bf8eb0cc702dcd0142
0x06bc430ed3248a9b362603bf8eb0cc702dcd0142
- Realised P&L
- $-8.24
- Volume
- $176.30
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $3.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.300 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.997 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.225 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.42at 0.217Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.59at 0.440Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.440Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.39at 0.460Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998896 | $1.14 |
| 09-17 17:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.349999956 | $1.99 |
| 09-16 02:17 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6499998857 | $1.99 |
| 09-14 05:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999769 | $1.99 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.549999807 | $1.14 |
| 09-11 15:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999977 | $1.99 |
| 09-10 05:27 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999351 | $1.99 |
| 09-10 05:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999299 | $1.69 |