0x06b7455170b9b68d39a4dd424f1bf219f72a35f9
- Realised P&L
- $-4.58
- Volume
- $76.61
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $22.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.12at 0.975Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?
- +$0.12at 0.908Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
- +$0.04at 0.966Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%?
- +$0.03at 0.984Will turnout in the Icelandic EU membership negotiations referendum be between 80–85%?
- +$0.02at 0.898Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:12 | Will Adam Zemek be the next Mayor of Brno? | SELL | 0.957 | $0.05 |
| 09-15 17:29 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9099995182 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9099995182 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will Peter Harvánek be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 17:26 | Will Ondřej Němeček be the next Mayor of Ostrava? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.21 |
| 09-09 06:04 | Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.19 |
| 09-09 05:55 | Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7899995353 | $1.19 |
| 09-08 13:26 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.1199999917 | $1.15 |
| 09-08 12:14 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7699997735 | $1.19 |
| 09-07 15:38 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.759999438 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 16:19 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 6%? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 16:11 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | BUY | 0.9659999903 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 16:08 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | BUY | 0.9699992582 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 16:07 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | BUY | 0.9699992582 | $1.19 |
| 09-06 16:07 | Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%? | BUY | 0.9699992582 | $1.19 |