PolyBot

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Traders

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

0x06b2934b382d4429d50d7239ee375a76167f9f35

Realised P&L
$71.4k
Volume
$2.42M
Markets traded
1,057
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,057
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? · Up0.0480.510$4.1k+$3.8k
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 24? · Down0.7600.978$1.4k+$309.34
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? · Down0.7600.490$253.99−$140.19
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 24? · Up0.3000.022$0.36−$4.59
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3380.000$0.00−$471.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.1810.000$0.00−$53.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$450.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$2.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.1070.000$0.00−$2.08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00−$13.24
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-30? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$5.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.3490.000$0.00−$493.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$5.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.1450.000$0.00−$156.11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No0.2990.000$0.00−$273.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 18:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.5499999325$2.85
09-24 15:53S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.08$0.80
09-24 15:53S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.08$3.54
09-24 15:51S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.07$5.36
09-24 15:45S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.08$1.53
09-24 15:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.07$0.38
09-24 15:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.06$0.60
09-24 15:36S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.06$0.60
09-24 14:50S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.19$4.81
09-24 13:18DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.45$4.09
09-24 12:02Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.3$4.95
09-24 07:30DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.41$2.05
09-24 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.68$3.40
09-24 05:00FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.28$1.40
09-24 04:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?BUY0.6435200909$118.99