0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
0x06b2934b382d4429d50d7239ee375a76167f9f35
- Realised P&L
- $53.0k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 666
- Open portfolio
- $963.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded666
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.7kat 0.238S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
- +$46.7kat 0.350S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
- +$29.3kat 0.421S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$27.0kat 0.300S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$17.1kat 0.706Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:07 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 13:20 | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.28 |
| 08-04 11:45 | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.32 |
| 08-04 11:43 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.27 |
| 08-04 11:43 | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 08-04 11:40 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $118.00 |
| 08-04 10:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $28.60 |
| 08-04 10:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $30.72 |
| 08-04 10:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.75 | $31.14 |
| 08-04 10:30 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $30.72 |
| 08-04 09:07 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.06 |
| 08-04 09:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $22.71 |
| 08-04 09:06 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $117.54 |
| 08-04 09:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.90 |
| 08-04 07:26 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |