0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
0x06b2934b382d4429d50d7239ee375a76167f9f35
- Realised P&L
- $71.4k
- Volume
- $2.42M
- Markets traded
- 1,057
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,057
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.3kat 0.244S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
- +$46.2kat 0.358S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?
- +$28.9kat 0.429S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$26.7kat 0.306S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?
- +$17.1kat 0.706Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999325 | $2.85 |
| 09-24 15:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-24 15:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.54 |
| 09-24 15:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.36 |
| 09-24 15:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.53 |
| 09-24 15:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.38 |
| 09-24 15:44 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-24 15:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-24 14:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.81 |
| 09-24 13:18 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.09 |
| 09-24 12:02 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.95 |
| 09-24 07:30 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-24 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 09-24 05:00 | FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-24 04:03 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.6435200909 | $118.99 |