PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Michago

0x06b15c1d8cbd43c67949d50072e3abec5f178dac

Realised P&L
$29.61
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$24.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? · No0.9971.000$24.41+$0.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 3? · Yes0.8400.000$0.00$6.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:53Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.997$24.35
09-17 05:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?SELL0.999$24.38
09-12 15:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.999$24.38
03-11 15:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?BUY0.998$16.30
11-30 14:08Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?BUY0.999$6.75
09-03 14:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 3?BUY0.8399999896$6.49
04-25 04:42Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?SELL0.996$53.12
04-23 07:48Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25?BUY0.96$51.20
02-21 17:01Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?BUY0.001$10.09
01-08 14:12Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?BUY0.987$237.49
12-13 17:58Ukraine election scheduled in 2024?BUY0.994$236.06
12-09 14:37Bengals vs. CowboysBUY0.7$165.24
12-08 14:10Brian Thompson Perp arrested on Sunday?BUY0.0330955$8.50
12-06 06:41Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?BUY0.996$173.05
11-18 12:34Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?BUY0.439999957$5.32