Michago
0x06b15c1d8cbd43c67949d50072e3abec5f178dac
- Realised P&L
- $29.61
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $24.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $24.41 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 3? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.82at 0.700Bengals vs. Cowboys
- +$6.77at 0.440Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$5.96at 0.963Will Russia capture Siversk before December?
- +$3.13at 0.987Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?
- +$2.25at 0.690Over 9.5 rounds?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:53 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $24.35 |
| 09-17 05:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.38 |
| 09-12 15:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.38 |
| 03-11 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.30 |
| 11-30 14:08 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.75 |
| 09-03 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 3? | BUY | 0.8399999896 | $6.49 |
| 04-25 04:42 | Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25? | SELL | 0.996 | $53.12 |
| 04-23 07:48 | Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25? | BUY | 0.96 | $51.20 |
| 02-21 17:01 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.09 |
| 01-08 14:12 | Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration? | BUY | 0.987 | $237.49 |
| 12-13 17:58 | Ukraine election scheduled in 2024? | BUY | 0.994 | $236.06 |
| 12-09 14:37 | Bengals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.7 | $165.24 |
| 12-08 14:10 | Brian Thompson Perp arrested on Sunday? | BUY | 0.0330955 | $8.50 |
| 12-06 06:41 | Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $173.05 |
| 11-18 12:34 | Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December? | BUY | 0.439999957 | $5.32 |