nisiti
0x06aee0ecab8f1b205185559b38fae5ffb5100a09
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $472.5k
- Markets traded
- 5,195
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded5,195
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.002Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 28?
- +$178.08at 0.303Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?
- +$105.76at 0.881Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
- +$84.74at 0.980Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$39.23at 0.968Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $47.03 |
| 09-30 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $37.50 |
| 09-30 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.948223889 | $33.50 |
| 09-30 23:07 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.10 |
| 09-30 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9587571637 | $19.74 |
| 09-30 22:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 09-30 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.97 |
| 09-30 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.71 |
| 09-30 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.70 |
| 09-30 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 09-30 20:49 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-30 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $219.39 |
| 09-30 20:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $138.91 |
| 09-30 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $805.55 |