PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x06adB3c4333d634Fc52BD9FCAAaEe9D172c551Ab-1778284424891

0x06adb3c4333d634fc52bd9fcaaaee9d172c551ab

Realised P&L
$-16.48
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$0.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0490.020$0.81−$1.19
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.02
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.00
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$2.00
CD Los Chankas vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5 · Over0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5 · Over0.4500.000$0.00−$3.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 17:09Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.08$0.89
06-14 17:08Will T1 make a roster change before July?SELL0.036$0.72
06-01 03:36Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?SELL0.87$4.38
05-30 03:21Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELL0.03$0.00
05-30 03:07Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersSELL0.09$1.06
05-30 02:29Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.33$3.93
05-30 01:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?SELL0.08$1.76
05-17 21:53Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5BUY0.48$2.43
05-17 21:53Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5BUY0.48$2.43
05-17 21:53Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5BUY0.48$2.43
05-17 21:53Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5BUY0.48$2.43
05-17 21:38Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)BUY0.37$0.93