eastpak
0x06ac70013cd0c7992ec830ad5df9f7f66d5b79ec
- Realised P&L
- $-10.5k
- Volume
- $5.64M
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $48.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.1kat 0.780Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$9.6kat 0.674 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$7.1kat 0.738US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$7.0kat 0.930Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$6.0kat 0.525Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 22:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |
| 10-18 22:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.81 | $462.35 |
| 10-18 22:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.8k |
| 10-18 22:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.79 | $742.60 |
| 10-18 22:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.78 | $293.35 |
| 10-07 13:12 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $40.56 |
| 09-30 21:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.981 | $69.50 |
| 09-07 11:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.2712999 | $271.30 |
| 08-29 10:42 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $31.48 |
| 08-27 18:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 08-27 18:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.03 | $65.97 |
| 08-20 17:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $897.84 |
| 08-19 14:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.7k |
| 08-19 12:54 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.9k |
| 08-19 12:54 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.3k |