d008
0x06a22231b2d42f8704e85ef44c2dda278d9f8015
- Realised P&L
- $-14.9k
- Volume
- $3.35M
- Markets traded
- 1,703
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,703
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine vs. Boston College · Boston College | 0.955 | 1.000 | $523.57 | +$23.57 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.958 | 0.958 | $400.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No | 0.956 | 0.948 | $396.69 | −$3.31 |
| Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No | 0.944 | 0.938 | $297.95 | −$2.05 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.805 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · 1win | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.264Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$8.7kat 0.687Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$2.4kat 0.878Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?
- +$1.4kat 0.889Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.727Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:01 | Maine vs. Boston College | BUY | 0.9529999985 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 21:00 | Maine vs. Boston College | BUY | 0.9555063195 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 20:43 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9898166983 | $800.00 |
| 09-19 20:43 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9899999952 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 20:30 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9780341512 | $500.00 |
| 09-19 20:29 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9787765293 | $500.00 |
| 09-19 20:28 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.976 | $500.00 |
| 09-19 20:27 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9747240556 | $600.00 |
| 09-19 20:24 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.966 | $900.00 |
| 09-19 20:22 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9778151698 | $1000.00 |
| 09-19 20:20 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9922062344 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:18 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.9900718066 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 16:35 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.957986157 | $400.00 |
| 09-19 16:32 | Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.9444591728 | $300.00 |
| 09-19 16:31 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.957900857 | $100.00 |