d008
0x06a22231b2d42f8704e85ef44c2dda278d9f8015
- Realised P&L
- $-20.7k
- Volume
- $2.70M
- Markets traded
- 1,247
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,247
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina · Elena Rybakina | 0.830 | 1.000 | $2.1k | +$361.06 |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix · Trent Rockets | 0.964 | 0.928 | $1.4k | −$56.28 |
| Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-08-05? · No | 0.940 | 0.895 | $952.66 | −$47.34 |
| ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Ander Tarrio Ponte · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 0.923 | 0.989 | $535.82 | +$35.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.931 | 0.985 | $528.93 | +$28.93 |
| National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette · Iva Jovic | 0.870 | 0.805 | $9.25 | −$0.75 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.930 | 0.935 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.264Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$8.7kat 0.687Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$2.4kat 0.878Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?
- +$1.4kat 0.890Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
- +$1.3kat 0.727Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:20 | National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linette | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 08-05 19:18 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:37 | ECS England: Comilla Warriors (ENG) vs Fearless Lions of West Ham | SELL | 0.987 | $1.10 |
| 08-05 18:36 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.83 | $2.6k |
| 08-05 18:29 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | SELL | 0.51 | $1.1k |
| 08-05 18:29 | National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton | SELL | 0.69 | $907.89 |
| 08-05 18:26 | ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Ander Tarrio Ponte | BUY | 0.9228865896 | $500.00 |
| 08-05 18:25 | Will FK CSKA 1948 Sofia win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.94 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 18:23 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | SELL | 0.69 | $726.70 |
| 08-05 18:22 | National Bank Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 16:52 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.94 | $1000.00 |
| 08-05 16:51 | National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.94 | $2.0k |
| 08-05 16:49 | ITF Fano: Federico Arnaboldi vs Leonardo Primucci | SELL | 0.63 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 16:49 | Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue | SELL | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 08-05 16:49 | ITF Fano: Federico Arnaboldi vs Leonardo Primucci | SELL | 0.66 | $15.70 |