PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nobdbs

0x06a04f15568dcab996374c8ea4ffcaf243fd10ac

Realised P&L
$-2.99
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$145.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.4600.555$72.39+$12.39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.2590.294$56.85+$6.85
Sweden snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.2000.160$16.00−$4.00
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 09:36Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.4599999986$60.00
10-10 09:36Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.0204818102$10.00
10-10 09:36Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.6666666667$20.00
10-10 09:35Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999845$50.00
10-10 09:35Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.2589999987$50.00
10-02 23:54Sweden snap election called in 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
09-24 16:55Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-24 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-24 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.8599999835$25.00
09-16 15:22Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?BUY0.0496073171$10.17
09-12 18:13Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.2$10.00
09-12 17:25Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?BUY0.32$5.00
09-11 20:27Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?BUY0.29$2.90
09-10 15:25Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.7684630687$100.00
09-07 17:25Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.62$49.60