Nobdbs
0x06a04f15568dcab996374c8ea4ffcaf243fd10ac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.99
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $145.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.460 | 0.555 | $72.39 | +$12.39 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.259 | 0.294 | $56.85 | +$6.85 |
| Sweden snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.160 | $16.00 | −$4.00 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.65at 0.629Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?
- +$29.20at 0.775Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$9.73at 0.675Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$4.19at 0.923Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 09:36 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $60.00 |
| 10-10 09:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0204818102 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 09:36 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6666666667 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 09:35 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999845 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 09:35 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2589999987 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 23:54 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 16:55 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999835 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 15:22 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0496073171 | $10.17 |
| 09-12 18:13 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:25 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 20:27 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-10 15:25 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.7684630687 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 17:25 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.62 | $49.60 |