0x069e6e17860a1ca21bb3f899ce9986780cf5863c
- Realised P&L
- $292.22
- Volume
- $43.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $380.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.049 | $352.88 | +$59.86 |
| Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.055 | $16.55 | −$7.53 |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.013 | $11.46 | −$16.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.87at 0.083Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
- +$124.36at 0.318Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
- +$93.18at 0.253Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
- +$43.15at 0.046Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$25.33at 0.190Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999992 | $44.91 |
| 08-04 04:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.030233387 | $50.13 |
| 08-04 04:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0388539549 | $64.43 |
| 08-04 04:48 | Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $36.73 |
| 08-04 04:46 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.162 | $30.25 |
| 08-02 06:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409992298 | $131.75 |
| 08-02 06:10 | Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $112.32 |
| 08-02 06:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.0471597754 | $39.30 |
| 07-31 15:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0699999989 | $58.34 |
| 07-31 08:56 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $8.00 |
| 07-31 08:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.01409486 | $1.72 |
| 07-31 08:52 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.71 |
| 07-31 08:51 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0319511014 | $13.07 |
| 07-31 08:48 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0495535714 | $11.10 |
| 07-31 08:46 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0516412492 | $28.79 |