0x069aDb6c1434e4A19418f03f03CB0E6c02c7F0aa-1772232152337
0x069adb6c1434e4a19418f03f03cb0e6c02c7f0aa
- Realised P&L
- $-69.49
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.36at 0.042Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?
- +$3.63at 0.217Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9PM ET
- +$2.79at 0.303Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$2.09at 0.242Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 21?
- +$1.41at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.0518333333 | $0.31 |
| 10-18 23:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 18? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.11 |
| 10-17 09:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.01 |
| 10-16 21:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.20 |
| 10-15 17:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.19 |
| 10-12 12:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.136 | $0.68 |
| 10-10 15:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 10-09 21:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 9? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 10-08 00:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 7? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 10-06 23:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-30 19:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0379999992 | $1.20 |
| 09-29 09:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0189999999 | $1.20 |
| 09-28 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |