0x068cf62f6afefca7ccc6871e340e2dcdd42b0122
0x068cf62f6afefca7ccc6871e340e2dcdd42b0122
- Realised P&L
- $4.42
- Volume
- $230.72
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.819 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.685 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.585 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.420 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.495 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.575 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 24? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.155 | $0.61 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.43at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September?
- +$2.77at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:54 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:38 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:06 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:21 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:51 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:42 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:29 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.3549999255 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:37 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:04 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:14 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |