jwshao
0x0683604ef6005dbd4de2e1d3237340f257fddbf3
- Realised P&L
- $-200.96
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.693 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 2? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? · Yes | 0.911 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.872 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$530.29at 0.539Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?
- +$402.70at 0.770Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
- +$257.94at 0.222Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
- +$236.38at 0.784Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$169.08at 0.479Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.8717304434 | $1.1k |
| 10-01 10:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.5215673851 | $600.00 |
| 09-20 16:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8060170645 | $513.69 |
| 08-31 02:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8609999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 19:59 | US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane | BUY | 0.8500562044 | $300.00 |
| 08-23 13:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $325.61 |
| 07-29 17:13 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9109999988 | $170.00 |
| 07-29 17:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $8.60 |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $25.81 |
| 07-29 17:12 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.0840539038 | $123.97 |
| 07-20 06:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:47 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.69273824 | $189.39 |
| 07-15 20:21 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6124999957 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6174999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 16:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8299999992 | $110.00 |