sbray
0x0683136f8b37b179241b33a669760f847343821f
- Realised P&L
- $-43.44
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $49.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.835 | $31.00 | −$0.19 |
| Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.680 | 1.000 | $18.12 | +$5.79 |
| Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.12at 0.470Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$7.27at 0.450Yoon arrested by Friday?
- +$5.01at 0.999Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?
- +$1.53at 0.953Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$0.52at 0.984Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:47 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.7699999989 | $14.07 |
| 01-30 16:03 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.88 |
| 01-30 15:58 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.77 |
| 01-30 14:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999981 | $27.92 |
| 01-30 11:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.53 |
| 12-30 09:40 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.995513382 | $8.49 |
| 12-30 09:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.998999992 | $16.85 |
| 12-30 08:31 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.73 |
| 12-30 00:50 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999507 | $16.76 |
| 12-29 23:47 | Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.37 |
| 12-29 20:53 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.76 |
| 10-31 15:05 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.64 |
| 10-30 19:36 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9839999998 | $31.88 |
| 10-30 17:46 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9529999997 | $31.08 |
| 09-29 15:20 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.28 |