PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sbray

0x0683136f8b37b179241b33a669760f847343821f

Realised P&L
$-43.44
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$49.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? · Yes0.8400.835$31.00−$0.19
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? · No0.6801.000$18.12+$5.79
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$7.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:47Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.7699999989$14.07
01-30 16:03Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January?BUY0.999$14.88
01-30 15:58Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?BUY0.999$14.77
01-30 14:59Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.9989999981$27.92
01-30 11:42Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?BUY0.999$66.53
12-30 09:40Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.995513382$8.49
12-30 09:34Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998999992$16.85
12-30 08:31Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$18.73
12-30 00:50Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026?BUY0.9979999507$16.76
12-29 23:47Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.998$19.37
12-29 20:53Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$38.76
10-31 15:05Ethereum all time high by October 31?BUY0.999$15.64
10-30 19:36Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9839999998$31.88
10-30 17:46Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.9529999997$31.08
09-29 15:20Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?BUY0.999$18.28