Munford
0x0680555ae696108e9f6bfab437d89910000a9e57
- Realised P&L
- $-18.89
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.009 | $0.15 | −$0.33 |
| Spread: Thailand (-1.5) · Thailand | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.74at 0.070Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
- +$19.18at 0.080Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
- +$1.90at 0.035US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
- +$0.00at 0.940Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.933Iran Nuke before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 08:38 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.04 | $10.28 |
| 07-31 08:25 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.041 | $5.04 |
| 07-31 08:24 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.041 | $5.49 |
| 07-21 07:43 | US x China tariff agreement by July 31? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.81 |
| 07-21 07:42 | US x China tariff agreement by July 31? | SELL | 0.037 | $34.41 |
| 07-15 05:23 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-15 05:22 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $106.81 |
| 07-09 07:39 | Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $461.54 |
| 07-09 07:37 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $27.26 |
| 07-09 06:50 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $461.54 |
| 06-29 08:26 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.933 | $462.76 |
| 06-29 06:24 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $463.60 |
| 06-16 04:30 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.903 | $307.01 |
| 06-16 02:44 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | BUY | 0.932 | $307.56 |
| 06-09 06:13 | Spread: Thailand (-1.5) | SELL | 0.07 | $0.91 |