0x06730410cc642a527a118886ea524f1c77321c32
- Realised P&L
- $82.15
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $3.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.075 | $1.88 | −$0.13 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.94at 0.160Will Albania win on 2026-03-26?
- +$40.92at 0.130Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?
- +$35.15at 0.150Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?
- +$32.09at 0.290Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?
- +$18.38at 0.240Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 22:20 | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 22:18 | Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 03-28 21:20 | Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.00 |
| 03-27 20:21 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | SELL | 0.54 | $34.20 |
| 03-27 20:16 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | BUY | 0.3158045284 | $20.00 |
| 03-26 21:57 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.068 | $18.72 |
| 03-26 21:07 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26? | SELL | 0.6001256767 | $62.08 |
| 03-26 20:33 | Will Albania win on 2026-03-26? | SELL | 0.43 | $120.94 |
| 03-26 19:19 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 03-26 12:09 | Will Albania win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $45.00 |
| 03-25 19:46 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0689999968 | $19.00 |
| 03-22 21:14 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | SELL | 0.45 | $39.38 |
| 03-22 20:37 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.24 | $21.00 |
| 03-22 15:41 | Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 15:03 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |