0x0671f5344e84270bdea34ec7451128595b86a3ac
- Realised P&L
- $0.88
- Volume
- $63.99
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $10.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.360 | $7.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No | 0.930 | 0.915 | $1.86 | −$0.03 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Porto reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.110 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.257Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$2.66at 0.281Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
- +$-0.99at 0.199Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08?
- +$-1.03at 0.444Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$-1.04at 0.250Will FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.39 |
| 09-13 21:03 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:03 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 20:43 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.06 |
| 09-08 11:26 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 11:26 | Will FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 11:25 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 11:24 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.9299999951 | $1.89 |
| 09-08 11:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.89 |
| 09-06 11:51 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:49 | Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:48 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:46 | Will Porto reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |