protagonist
0x066db61cb41e262d3c773172ae7179d7c20c07bc
- Realised P&L
- $-795.52
- Volume
- $112.1k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$582.42at 0.593Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$325.83at 0.394Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$324.57at 0.400Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$242.29at 0.401Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
- +$227.83at 0.692Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:37 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.4 | $105.92 |
| 08-02 17:29 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.841 | $38.69 |
| 08-02 17:29 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.824 | $201.97 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.839 | $167.80 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.837 | $54.41 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.836 | $25.08 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.823 | $164.60 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.822 | $74.83 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $737.72 |
| 08-02 17:27 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.822 | $52.58 |
| 08-02 17:27 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | BUY | 0.82 | $56.22 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 08-02 17:16 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.4416186468 | $40.92 |
| 08-02 17:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.25 |
| 08-02 17:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |