protagonist
0x066db61cb41e262d3c773172ae7179d7c20c07bc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $126.0k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$582.42at 0.593Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$311.08at 0.412Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$294.30at 0.405Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$238.29at 0.405Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
- +$225.74at 0.695Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:31 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $264.19 |
| 09-17 15:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.13 | $42.90 |
| 09-14 11:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 09-14 09:46 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.88 | $117.04 |
| 09-14 09:33 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-14 09:33 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.18 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $126.84 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $12.75 |
| 09-14 09:31 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 09-14 09:30 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $116.30 |
| 09-14 09:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |
| 09-14 09:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $38.25 |
| 08-31 13:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.89 | $77.05 |
| 08-31 13:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |