HoroscopeMe
0x065ab032a11acb6b4640293181e368ce12fd1675
- Realised P&L
- $-146.94
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $16.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.839 | $11.49 | +$1.49 |
| Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · Yes | 0.910 | 1.000 | $5.49 | +$0.49 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.56at 0.360Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$26.25at 0.160Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina speech?
- +$21.99at 0.293$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
- +$6.76at 0.830Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?
- +$6.76at 0.110Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 02:13 | Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 01:53 | Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 01:52 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.2105756579 | $15.36 |
| 04-12 07:43 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.1096485741 | $8.00 |
| 02-02 09:50 | LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-In | BUY | 0.4799999568 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 08:52 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BUY | 0.46999999 | $20.70 |
| 05-30 22:39 | Will Google have the top AI model on June 30? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 03-30 01:02 | Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4? | BUY | 0.0161977803 | $5.00 |
| 12-13 21:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 12-13 21:07 | $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024? | SELL | 0.941 | $31.99 |
| 11-13 22:17 | Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 11-13 22:16 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.9479999524 | $11.00 |
| 11-13 22:16 | $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024? | BUY | 0.2926829118 | $10.00 |
| 11-03 02:35 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14 | BUY | 0.0239999994 | $40.00 |
| 09-24 23:08 | Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina speech? | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |