puiemsd
0x0659434d45b27d647004752e7d986dd4d6552995
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $548.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.219 | 0.280 | $5.7k | +$1.2k |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.580 | $1.8k | +$374.94 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.059 | $998.53 | −$320.55 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.112 | $910.15 | −$925.12 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.022 | $458.11 | −$857.06 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $139.84 | −$32.49 |
| Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $90.00 | −$50.40 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.009 | $47.50 | −$202.47 |
| Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$510.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$243.73 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$233.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.056Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.8kat 0.407Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$2.1kat 0.121Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?
- +$682.52at 0.043Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
- +$133.00at 0.620Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:27 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6882 | $344.10 |
| 10-10 18:01 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5342264739 | $185.13 |
| 10-08 06:40 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6195238095 | $78.06 |
| 10-06 17:41 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 10-03 04:57 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.029336264 | $293.36 |
| 10-02 15:57 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.59 |
| 10-02 15:53 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-02 15:43 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2276808301 | $55.51 |
| 10-02 15:43 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4383089582 | $198.70 |
| 10-02 15:42 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0062249946 | $124.21 |
| 10-02 15:42 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $60.00 |
| 10-02 15:42 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0020239 | $40.48 |
| 10-02 15:41 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002407154 | $48.14 |
| 10-02 15:41 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 15:31 | Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0787830918 | $13.75 |