rebrane
0x0654f1bc14263992b6e681a9ffd88589ab39ee28
- Realised P&L
- $-241.83
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.011 | $2.82 | −$78.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.34at 0.350Colombia wins Copa America 2024?
- +$7.42at 0.616Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.60at 0.273Will Biden finish his term?
- +$4.80at 0.070Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$1.80at 0.059Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 21:43 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 16:43 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.38 |
| 04-10 16:43 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.44 |
| 04-09 02:17 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.94 |
| 04-09 02:15 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.85 |
| 04-05 23:01 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.85 |
| 04-05 16:39 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.10 |
| 04-05 03:30 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 04-05 03:28 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 04-05 03:06 | Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | BUY | 0.3395584416 | $52.29 |
| 07-21 17:50 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.01599 | $12.79 |
| 07-15 19:06 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 17:49 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 07-15 01:25 | Colombia wins Copa America 2024? | BUY | 0.35 | $28.00 |
| 07-14 07:23 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |