flashboys2
0x06521fb68bb128840b62ea646fcb2d40682c9134
- Realised P&L
- $-19.8k
- Volume
- $2.08M
- Markets traded
- 308
- Open portfolio
- $190.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded308
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.820Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$2.4kat 0.878US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.140US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.577Will Levante UD vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
- +$1.0kat 0.673Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:07 | Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $12.00 |
| 10-03 15:08 | KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | SELL | 0.5 | $50.70 |
| 10-01 02:59 | Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-30 11:51 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $47.43 |
| 09-30 11:50 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $35.20 |
| 09-29 06:24 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2682917425 | $14.75 |
| 09-29 04:42 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.409 | $2.04 |
| 09-29 04:29 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.519 | $2.60 |
| 09-27 04:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-26 07:15 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 05:05 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.010893875 | $8.72 |
| 09-26 01:58 | Will Bitget resume withdrawals by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0391 | $7.82 |
| 09-25 15:43 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 09-25 15:29 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on September 25? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-24 03:53 | Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |