0x06498035d66dcb91e5f8bcf16b568c88b5ffe49b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.68
- Volume
- $161.73
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $44.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.925 | $35.68 | +$10.43 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.065 | $6.95 | −$18.30 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.962 | $1.38 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.030 | $0.45 | −$0.87 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 17:39 | Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999426 | $1.32 |
| 04-11 17:39 | Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.32 |
| 04-11 17:30 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999345 | $2.20 |
| 04-11 17:30 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999705 | $2.20 |
| 04-11 17:29 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999608 | $3.67 |
| 04-11 17:29 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999734 | $3.67 |
| 04-11 17:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.12 |
| 04-11 17:28 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999827 | $6.12 |
| 04-11 17:26 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.20 |
| 04-11 17:26 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6524520173 | $10.20 |
| 04-11 17:24 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.53 |
| 04-11 17:24 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999396 | $1.53 |
| 04-11 17:12 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999131 | $1.53 |
| 04-11 17:12 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999396 | $1.53 |