thisismarch
0x06436e83b67f903c0730f0dc15534d05d916d46b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $60.5k
- Markets traded
- 991
- Open portfolio
- $118.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded991
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.535 | $10.49 | +$0.49 |
| Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.505 | $10.10 | +$0.10 |
| Saints vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.545 | $10.09 | +$0.09 |
| Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 40.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.535 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: Broncos (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.530 | 0.525 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Browns vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.505 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Patriots (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.490 | 0.485 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.500 | $9.80 | −$0.20 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.525 | $9.72 | −$0.28 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Packers | 0.490 | 0.475 | $9.69 | −$0.31 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.525 | $9.53 | +$0.09 |
| MIA vs. SF: O/U 46.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.565 | $9.42 | +$0.42 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros · Boston Red Sox | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.55 |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · Cincinnati Reds | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$394.45at 0.511Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5
- +$370.54at 0.521Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)
- +$359.13at 0.526Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)
- +$337.62at 0.489VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
- +$321.02at 0.611TCU vs. North Carolina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:33 | MIA vs. SF: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5399999892 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:27 | Spread: Broncos (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:24 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:22 | Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Saints vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:54 | Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.5199999758 | $9.44 |
| 09-16 05:52 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Browns vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:46 | Bengals vs. Texans: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:44 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:40 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:32 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $49.26 |
| 06-25 20:20 | Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 06-21 16:44 | Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |