0x0643431eb69e27b8702608836334ddb3134153be
0x0643431eb69e27b8702608836334ddb3134153be
- Realised P&L
- $-21.05
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions · England Champions | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$2.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET · Up | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Up | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.96at 0.328Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12?
- +$-1.18at 0.002Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-1.35at 0.147Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:07 | World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies Champions | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.003487351 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0481216515 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 16:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.95 |
| 10-12 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0118101294 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 23:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.011 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 23:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.147 | $3.22 |
| 10-12 23:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1369999951 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 23:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.0912877373 | $3.03 |
| 10-12 22:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0903973488 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 22:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.25 |
| 10-12 22:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 22:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.56 |
| 10-12 22:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0449999994 | $2.00 |