0x06405b2c8537dd0fcee13ac911424733a7bce273
0x06405b2c8537dd0fcee13ac911424733a7bce273
- Realised P&L
- $-6.68
- Volume
- $203.29
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $30.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.695 | $15.21 | −$0.11 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.695 | $15.00 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.27at 0.724Will France win on 2026-09-25?
- +$3.25at 0.687Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
- +$0.63at 0.763Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$-1.03at 0.505Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$-1.03at 0.495Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 03:50 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6999999954 | $15.32 |
| 09-27 03:48 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.709999993 | $15.32 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $21.26 |
| 09-24 16:05 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 14:35 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $15.00 |
| 09-24 14:15 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 13:05 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6799998776 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 05:22 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:21 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:18 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7499998116 | $1.99 |