PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MoneyMachine39

0x064037fe79c5327561f883c09db420814dc65ea2

Realised P&L
$-174.72
Volume
$157.2k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$586.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.5880.967$137.92+$54.12
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0300.858$85.75+$82.75
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.6500.602$60.15$4.85
Will Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.1510.057$34.39$56.61
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.1470.474$34.36+$23.68
Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.4500.840$30.47+$14.15
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2200.255$27.82+$3.82
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · Yes0.5100.455$22.75$2.75
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.2610.130$22.71$22.94
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? · Yes0.3490.535$12.24+$4.26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1450.182$9.13+$1.88
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? · Yes0.2800.235$9.06$1.74
Will Colo-Colo win Chile Primera? · Yes0.3100.720$8.34+$4.75
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat? · No0.4800.480$8.32+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? · Yes0.1700.390$7.80+$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:54Will Boston Legacy FC vs. Houston Dash end in a draw?BUY0.2299999784$2.34
09-16 09:36Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.457198515$8.16
09-15 21:45Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.2199999982$24.00
09-15 19:26Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?BUY0.5$4.68
09-13 07:16Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on September 15?SELL0.85$28.05
09-12 16:48Real Madrid CF to score first vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?BUY0.2$1.16
09-12 07:07Will the fight end before Round 3?SELL0.43$23.65
09-12 06:09Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.535221237$56.00
09-12 06:08Will Hapoel Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.1699999977$5.13
09-12 02:10CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.2392202729$15.34
09-11 21:02Coritiba FBC vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1899999993$14.28
09-11 08:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?BUY0.3370434757$34.20
09-11 05:35Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.1824933872$9.88
09-10 23:25Will the fight end before Round 3?BUY0.5299999972$30.25
09-10 13:34Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?BUY0.48$12.24