Esgallant
0x063ab983b94d32570055a3341eac519a89450a67
- Realised P&L
- $-2.78
- Volume
- $36.61
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.725 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher? · Dembélé | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.790Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $344 in October?
- +$0.47at 0.680Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?
- +$0.34at 0.750Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 15:33 | Will Avengers: Doomsday rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 14:38 | Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 05:07 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $344 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 23:43 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 19:28 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.065 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 19:19 | Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 19:18 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 19:16 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 19:13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7439994584 | $1.00 |