PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Apolinariia

0x0638f2742968cd6bab462e173bc30608f036a2e4

Realised P&L
$869.94
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$14.73

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.7810.910$5.71+$0.81
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8700.950$2.04+$0.17
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8700.961$1.91+$0.18
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.935$1.80+$0.22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8700.978$1.79+$0.20
Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026? · No0.9100.680$1.48−$0.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$1.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 09:03Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9099999908$1.98
09-21 12:01DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 21?BUY0.96$1.49
09-11 10:27Will Iran target Bahrain by September 15, 2026?BUY0.8799999524$1.48
09-11 10:26Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$0.58
08-27 14:40Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.8699995906$1.87
08-18 11:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?BUY0.6299999452$1.84
08-07 15:34Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?BUY0.94$1.74
08-01 11:42Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.87$1.73
07-25 11:35Will XRP dip to $1.00 in July?BUY0.8599999807$1.78
07-18 10:41Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 on July 20?BUY0.96$1.85
07-11 12:06Evo Morales arrested by July 31?BUY0.99$1.98
07-03 13:35Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.829999585$1.58
06-26 13:29Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?BUY0.7699999587$1.68
06-19 13:57Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999253$1.67
06-13 12:46Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?BUY0.8539999803$1.73