YieldYoda
0x06305bcabebb84179177ae9b7b367abd4ce93fcd
- Realised P&L
- $-782.37
- Volume
- $168.5k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $538.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.60at 0.237Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$133.98at 0.707Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$96.15at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$91.00at 0.280Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$86.00at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 01:48 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.921 | $184.20 |
| 09-07 10:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $192.00 |
| 08-29 03:51 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $52.20 |
| 08-29 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 08-24 05:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-21 08:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $158.00 |
| 08-18 03:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.292 | $58.40 |
| 08-14 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $131.36 |
| 08-14 12:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $194.80 |
| 08-14 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $204.39 |
| 08-14 12:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 08-12 22:52 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 08-12 22:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $388.40 |
| 08-11 14:54 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 08-11 14:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |