0x062F7C66c7a7615087B3537957497B5Fc42c823A-1777414810315
0x062f7c66c7a7615087b3537957497b5fc42c823a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $128.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.135 | $3.3k | −$914.60 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.170 | 0.125 | $2.7k | −$956.80 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-29.00at 0.030Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$-63.40at 0.065Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$-76.92at 0.260Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
- +$-110.00at 0.011Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-178.00at 0.180Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 17:39 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.06 | $23.08 |
| 07-01 16:40 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-08 18:46 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 05-08 18:23 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 05-08 18:23 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.0051065103 | $1.66 |
| 05-08 18:21 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.0081871333 | $2.46 |
| 05-08 18:21 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.01005875 | $0.16 |
| 05-08 18:20 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.01285 | $1.61 |
| 05-08 17:25 | Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 05-08 17:25 | Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.92 |
| 05-08 17:25 | Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.19 |
| 05-08 17:25 | Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.12 |
| 05-08 17:24 | Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 05-08 17:24 | Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 05-08 17:24 | Will Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.86 |