fourcoin15m
0x0629ad7753ba6a7bf22dc816df228e92364c501d
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $146.6k
- Markets traded
- 10,685
- Open portfolio
- $18.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,685
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$398.13at 0.270Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
- +$334.42at 0.184Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
- +$234.53at 0.190Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
- +$228.25at 0.110Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$204.79at 0.556Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on October 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-03 04:08 | Will Party W win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 04:08 | Will Party V win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0072 | $0.04 |
| 10-03 04:08 | Will Party T win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0072 | $0.04 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Will Party R win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0072 | $0.04 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Will Party L win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Will Party G win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Will Party D win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0072 | $0.04 |
| 10-03 04:07 | Will The Reservists and the Economic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |