0x06243a20e1785e23b88dbcf04764483908943c1d
0x06243a20e1785e23b88dbcf04764483908943c1d
- Realised P&L
- $141.28
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $110.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.996 | $54.75 | +$6.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.880 | $44.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · No | 0.760 | 0.765 | $11.47 | +$0.07 |
| Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
| Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.25 |
| UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Yan Xiaonan | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.72at 0.762Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$26.94at 0.850Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
- +$19.15at 0.858Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$14.35at 0.875Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
- +$13.20at 0.890Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 17:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.40 |
| 10-12 17:34 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 10-10 04:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $3.35 |
| 10-10 04:13 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.07288 | $3.64 |
| 10-05 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $68.00 |
| 09-27 15:35 | Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw? | BUY | 0.81 | $12.15 |
| 09-25 07:31 | Will Armenia vs. Latvia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 09-24 09:47 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 09-23 13:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 09-20 17:54 | Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 09-20 07:35 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 09-20 07:32 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $11.55 |
| 09-18 16:51 | Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 09-18 16:48 | Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.72 | $10.80 |