PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mancha

0x06160312b74b3978c24ab0293ab26a15702aea27

Realised P&L
$-130.94
Volume
$43.6k
Markets traded
675
Open portfolio
$67.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded675
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 11:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-15 10:29Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 15?SELL0.12$1.20
09-12 20:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-06 08:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 6?BUY0.0363108206$1.00
09-04 20:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?BUY0.4799998272$1.00
09-04 20:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 5?BUY0.0711680455$1.00
09-04 09:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 4?BUY0.75$1.00
08-30 15:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 30?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-26 13:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 26?BUY0.2165354$5.00
08-21 08:39Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 21?BUY0.3699999112$2.00
08-20 12:12Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-20 12:04Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 20?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-20 11:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?BUY0.1809522586$1.00
08-20 11:33Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 20?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-20 11:30Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 20?BUY0.7599999595$3.00