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Mancha

0x06160312b74b3978c24ab0293ab26a15702aea27

Realised P&L
$-49.20
Volume
$41.8k
Markets traded
583
Open portfolio
$73.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded583
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 20:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-07 20:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8?BUY0.0901934299$1.00
08-07 20:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 8?BUY0.0119664461$1.00
08-07 19:56Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-07 09:47Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 7?BUY0.05$1.00
08-06 20:57Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 7?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-06 20:55Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 7?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-06 20:53Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 7?BUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-06 20:51Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
08-06 15:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?BUY0.02$1.00
08-06 14:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 6?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-05 14:05Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5?BUY0.0115982371$1.00
08-05 14:05Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-05 11:32Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 5?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-05 11:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.0956937799$1.00