OriTheSon
0x060aa8efb415f535d6278a40d788e91d51c93e71
- Realised P&L
- $-4.18
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $14.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.161 | $4.34 | +$2.34 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.218 | 0.115 | $4.21 | −$3.79 |
| Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.025 | $2.49 | −$1.51 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.860 | 0.865 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.011 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.43at 0.778Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.68at 0.816Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:34 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:34 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 20:46 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 20:45 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0739999973 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 20:38 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:37 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 20:03 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 19:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 13:29 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 20:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:27 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 05:30 | Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0408922198 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 19:50 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 19:32 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |