PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jerslf

0x05faf324ed0c9d93793853bffdf49806c9eecf16

Realised P&L
$-53.27
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$325.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0340.081$191.81+$111.81
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1270.163$111.32+$24.32
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.003$13.88−$1.99
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.017$8.49−$0.31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 00:22Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0028583333$15.87
10-30 00:22Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.155$15.87
10-29 22:49Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0171069594$8.80
10-29 22:49Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.021$8.80
10-29 22:48Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.022$9.22
10-29 22:48Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0335740295$80.00
10-21 22:54Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.169762163$40.00
10-06 22:18Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.127$100.00
05-31 12:20Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?BUY0.1871676534$10.00
05-31 12:20Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
12-31 20:14Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?BUY0.0594058859$1.00
12-31 19:17Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?BUY0.0829999292$1.00
12-20 19:08Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?BUY0.0689999387$1.00