Jerslf
0x05faf324ed0c9d93793853bffdf49806c9eecf16
- Realised P&L
- $-53.27
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $325.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.081 | $191.81 | +$111.81 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.163 | $111.32 | +$24.32 |
| Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $13.88 | −$1.99 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.017 | $8.49 | −$0.31 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.42at 0.022Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 00:22 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0028583333 | $15.87 |
| 10-30 00:22 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.155 | $15.87 |
| 10-29 22:49 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0171069594 | $8.80 |
| 10-29 22:49 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.021 | $8.80 |
| 10-29 22:48 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.022 | $9.22 |
| 10-29 22:48 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0335740295 | $80.00 |
| 10-21 22:54 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.169762163 | $40.00 |
| 10-06 22:18 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.127 | $100.00 |
| 05-31 12:20 | Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.1871676534 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 12:20 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 20:14 | Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | BUY | 0.0594058859 | $1.00 |
| 12-31 19:17 | Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? | BUY | 0.0829999292 | $1.00 |
| 12-20 19:08 | Will Alireza Firouzja win the Champions Chess Tour Finals? | BUY | 0.0689999387 | $1.00 |