degenraf01
0x05f8cfd33d0a36100e9608e7c4989b0afdb5c181
- Realised P&L
- $-12.70
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $588.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.932Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 27?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 24?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 26?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 2°C on October 27?
- +$1.05at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9573151212 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.962301573 | $15.00 |
| 11-02 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $14.44 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.83 |
| 11-02 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.9589999982 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.168 | $3.54 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9879999995 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 21:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.9759999995 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 19:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9572348493 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |