0x05f1Add4d60bAa60b8b8Cab287334Bf6A848fF47-1769421550479
0x05f1add4d60baa60b8b8cab287334bf6a848ff47
- Realised P&L
- $-26.59
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $6.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $6.63 | −$0.10 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.65 |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.61 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.71 |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) · Knicks | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.61 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.81 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.91 |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.21at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10PM ET
- +$10.19at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12PM ET
- +$9.99at 0.748Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET
- +$9.77at 0.747Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2PM ET
- +$9.52at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 12:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $5.78 |
| 07-24 16:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.68 |
| 07-23 18:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $9.61 |
| 07-20 06:09 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.349999974 | $6.73 |
| 07-19 09:36 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $4.30 |
| 07-19 07:16 | Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.37 |
| 07-19 05:26 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.29 |
| 07-19 05:17 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.38 |
| 07-18 19:12 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 02:46 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999319 | $5.29 |
| 07-12 23:53 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.689999878 | $5.09 |
| 07-12 08:06 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.78 |
| 07-12 08:04 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.84 |
| 07-07 16:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9399999979 | $9.15 |
| 07-05 05:05 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.16 |