Longan2025
0x05f116a5cacd8366f3a28c3e0ae381846387538a
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 1,313
- Open portfolio
- $642.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,313
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $199.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 22? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $199.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 22? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $99.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.995 | $99.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 21? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.984 | $14.75 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.984 | $14.75 | −$0.23 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $75 on September 22? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.984 | $14.75 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 18?
- +$3.0kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 19?
- +$3.0kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 14?
- +$3.0kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?
- +$2.5kat 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 09-19 08:30 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:29 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $75 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-19 08:26 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on September 21? | BUY | 0.9985007489 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 08:25 | Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9985007489 | $200.00 |
| 09-19 08:25 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on September 22? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 3? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 14:30 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 14:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:28 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9980926413 | $110.00 |
| 09-01 14:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 14:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $160.00 |