mommy-
0x05f0f7aa38368e425f7a42f2ef73a25766e9fc39
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $230.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $861.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.00at 0.235Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?
- +$147.03at 0.229Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?
- +$61.99at 0.340Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$47.00at 0.530US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$41.65at 0.890Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 04:32 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 08-28 04:31 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-20 15:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 07-27 02:27 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $56.00 |
| 07-27 02:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.797 | $518.05 |
| 07-27 02:09 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $84.03 |
| 07-27 02:02 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $90.00 |
| 07-27 02:01 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $90.00 |
| 07-24 05:49 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.937 | $34.40 |
| 07-24 05:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $99.81 |
| 07-23 21:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 07-23 20:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $750.00 |
| 07-17 19:39 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 07-17 02:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $117.00 |
| 07-16 20:09 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |