MrBael
0x05eca4ad10fd949e26cc0c35435596efa7d7f767
- Realised P&L
- $80.73
- Volume
- $45.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,123
- Open portfolio
- $218.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,123
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets Team Total: O/U 113.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.495 | $113.85 | +$1.15 |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5 · No | 0.450 | 0.495 | $104.99 | +$9.54 |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 · No | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$68.95 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-22? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
| FC Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente FC: FC Famalicão O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.41 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.40 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) · Mavericks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.30 |
| Nicolas Claxton: Points O/U 13.5 · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5 · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) · Pelicans | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.08at 0.440Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
- +$237.17at 0.610Atlante FC vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5
- +$225.03at 0.249Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?
- +$213.13at 0.233Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?
- +$165.61at 0.442Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:44 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 08-31 18:58 | FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $191.75 |
| 08-31 18:26 | Will Çorum FK win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.88 | $272.80 |
| 08-30 13:00 | Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-30 12:59 | Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $112.80 |
| 08-30 12:59 | Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $143.10 |
| 08-30 12:58 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.49 | $115.64 |
| 08-29 20:18 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $91.50 |
| 08-29 19:29 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.52 | $72.80 |
| 08-29 19:14 | Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $70.20 |
| 08-29 19:14 | Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $46.80 |
| 08-29 16:29 | Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $27.00 |
| 08-29 16:27 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.57 | $86.64 |
| 08-29 15:55 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $187.50 |
| 08-29 14:56 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $187.50 |