aa111
0x05e224c333634ab8eb17408bd70827a02703840c
- Realised P&L
- $-54.73
- Volume
- $40.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $127.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.985 | 0.986 | $105.23 | +$0.05 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $22.50 | −$52.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
- +$1.50at 0.990Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in November?
- +$0.43at 0.990Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?
- +$0.20at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 04:10 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.982 | $92.99 |
| 02-03 04:43 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.984999996 | $198.45 |
| 01-06 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.25 |
| 01-06 06:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 01-06 06:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $101.00 |
| 12-09 02:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $198.05 |
| 12-02 07:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.989 | $195.87 |
| 11-17 04:23 | Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $42.57 |
| 11-04 07:47 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in November? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 11-04 07:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 11-04 07:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 11-03 07:09 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 11-03 07:06 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |