PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

aa111

0x05e224c333634ab8eb17408bd70827a02703840c

Realised P&L
$-54.73
Volume
$40.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$127.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9850.986$105.23+$0.05
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$22.50$52.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 04:10Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.982$92.99
02-03 04:43Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.984999996$198.45
01-06 06:53Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in January?BUY0.999$57.25
01-06 06:52Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?BUY0.999$40.00
01-06 06:51Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?BUY0.999$101.00
12-09 02:14Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$198.05
12-02 07:38Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?BUY0.989$195.87
11-17 04:23Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?BUY0.99$42.57
11-04 07:47Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in November?BUY0.99$148.50
11-04 07:41Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.61$30.50
11-04 07:41Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.2$100.00
11-03 07:09Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.64$32.00
11-03 07:06Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.21$105.00