PolyBot

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Traders

jklsjdwoqejasdf

0x05dfd81903aae6f5caa20e1c1dd1d472728a882d

Realised P&L
$49.1k
Volume
$2.51M
Markets traded
254
Open portfolio
$6.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded254
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3230.360$2.3k+$242.64
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.5600.655$1.1k+$158.07
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · Yes0.9410.967$1.1k+$28.42
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9300.949$795.42+$15.94
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9510.977$749.28+$19.22
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0220.021$130.48$6.58
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? · Yes0.3300.295$44.30$5.26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0160.011$28.09$14.80
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5000.555$16.09+$1.59
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.6750.000$0.00$4.5k
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 17, 2026? · No0.8900.000$0.00$21.32
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.4230.000$0.00$3.0k
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$3.4k
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9? · No0.1720.000$0.00$46.71
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$25.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:13Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30?BUY0.33$56.15
09-16 08:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$712.80
09-15 11:54Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8784943481$617.07
09-13 03:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.86$398.84
09-13 00:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.8592728827$472.58
09-11 00:20Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$1.5k
09-10 22:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.56$404.34
09-10 08:09Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.929$13.94
09-10 07:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.38$63.14
09-10 00:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.43$143.92
09-10 00:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.44$6.60
09-10 00:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.44$6.60
09-09 23:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.4$87.02
09-09 23:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.4$18.77
09-09 23:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.42$42.00