jklsjdwoqejasdf
0x05dfd81903aae6f5caa20e1c1dd1d472728a882d
- Realised P&L
- $49.1k
- Volume
- $2.51M
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.4kat 0.991MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$14.9kat 0.927Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$8.7kat 0.907Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$5.8kat 0.926Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$3.6kat 0.637US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:13 | Ren Zhengfei public appearance by September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $56.15 |
| 09-16 08:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $712.80 |
| 09-15 11:54 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8784943481 | $617.07 |
| 09-13 03:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.86 | $398.84 |
| 09-13 00:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.8592728827 | $472.58 |
| 09-11 00:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 09-10 22:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $404.34 |
| 09-10 08:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.929 | $13.94 |
| 09-10 07:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.38 | $63.14 |
| 09-10 00:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.43 | $143.92 |
| 09-10 00:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 09-10 00:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 09-09 23:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $87.02 |
| 09-09 23:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $18.77 |
| 09-09 23:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |